subject: Economy Growth During Summer Season Months [print this page] Canadas financial recovery all but flatlined during the summer season, as the high dollar sabotaged the ability of manufacturers to promote their items to foreign markets.
Statistics Canada reported Tuesday that the July to September period noticed the economic system sluggish to a crawl, eking out a one per cent increase in gross domestic product.Thats about half a point lower than analysts and the Bank of Canada had been anticipating, and compares unfavourably to the U.S.s 2.5 per cent advance during the same period.
Exports declined 1.3 per cent on a quarter-to-quarter basis, a whopping five per cent on an annual basis. The trade imbalance - imports rose 6.4 per cent annualized - sliced about 3.5 per cent off the gross domestic product. The other main weak spot was housing development, which fell an annualized 5.3 per cent annualized.
Economists had anticipated a weak quarter, however not this weak. The consensus was for a growth rate of about 1.5 per cent, while the Bank of Canada had forecast a 1.6 per cent advance.
TD Bank economist Diana Petramala stated her financial institutions view is that Carney wont move once more on rates of interest until the 3rd quarter of next year, an opinion shared by Shenfeld. Still, she mentioned she expects the third quarter to have been the bottom of the economic deceleration, and that the fourth quarter will see a modest improvement to about 2 per cent.The markets noticed little to like in the GDP numbers, taking it out on the loonie in early morning trade. The dollar fell over 80 basis factors to 97.34 US.Statistics Canada did upgrade second-quarter progress somewhat by three-tenths of a point to 2.3 per cent, but that impact was offset by a downward revision of the primary quarter to 5.6 per cent from the previously reported 5.8.
Part of the shock was that September, the last month of the quarter, confirmed the economy contracting 0.1 per cent, when a flat or tiny uptick had been expected.The September knowledge can also be giving a weak send-off to the fourth-quarter performance, which wont be recognized for some time.
In a nutshell, this result is a transparent disappointment, said Douglas Porter of BMO Capital Markets. Bottom line for the Bank of Canada - there is zero rush to boost (curiosity) charges again.
For the year to this point, Canadas financial speed is barely forward of the united states. Primarily based on current efficiency, nevertheless, its no contest - the U.S. economy advanced by 2.5 per cent within the third quarter, in comparison with Canadas one per cent.The welcome information in the report was that, as expected, Canadian companies have been lastly taking advantage of the high dollar to buy machinery and equipment and gear up for future production. Investments in equipment and tools rose 6.5 per cent in the quarter - 29 per cent annualized - led by purchases in industrial machinery, and computers and different office equipment.
On a year-to-year basis, company investment was up 8.7 per cent, as opposed to the 20-per-cent decline of 2009.
Shoppers also played their part, spending 3.5 per cent annualized more on companies, automobiles, and clothing and footwear.
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